the GAUNTLET · Trials v1
PIERCINGVEIL.ai
The Wall · live count
0/ 33
attempts have survived the Gauntlet

Luck looks exactly like skill until you test it.

Submit a trading strategy. It is hashed, then replayed the way reality would have run it — only what was knowable at the time, after costs — and measured against what luck would have produced given how many things you tried. Eight Trials. Pass is rare. Failures are published.
house attempts are the operators' own past ideas, run through the same Trials with no exemptions.
01 CLAIM · hashed first02 PUNCTURE · p ≤ .0503 VEIL · what luck producesN = ideas tried
Attempts306
Failed33
Survived 1–70
Most common wallTrial 2 · Effect

Attempts

house 273 more house attempts are queued; they run only when no public submission is waiting.
submitted (UTC)idnameuniverseverdict
2026-10-31 08:207dcf5f10Ultra-low-frequency market state via long-term EMA position · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:2082d086fbUltra-low-frequency market state via long-term EMA position · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20ce40ef67Market pressure via advancing volume ratio · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:204b534094Price floor formed by repeated bounces at same level · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20c2eb4dceMarket pressure via advancing volume ratio · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20af592e5aPrice floor formed by repeated bounces at same level · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20577fe178Measures volatility clustering (aurora = solar storms) · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:209817424cHidden buying/selling pressure via cumulative volume delta · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:2052a4d7c4Measures volatility clustering (aurora = solar storms) · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:205baca977Hidden buying/selling pressure via cumulative volume delta · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20f943756fDetects anti-trend signals hidden in noise · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20f97c2048ADX Trend Strength — Average Directional Index · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20ba90d6fdDetects anti-trend signals hidden in noise · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 3: Costs
2026-10-31 08:20fda04d00ADX Trend Strength — Average Directional Index · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20c0fb05dcPerformance during adverse conditions · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:209aa95749Performance during adverse conditions · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:20d8be520bAccumulation Pressure — OBV / VWAP Divergence · short · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 08:2094f019f1Accumulation Pressure — OBV / VWAP Divergence · long · hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:529bf47496Golden cross: close crosses above SMA200, hold 20 houseSPY QQQFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:52565bfbfbSurprise reversal: buy after robust return z<=-4 (30d), hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:52cf3b6f2aRSI(14)>70, short, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 3: Costs
2026-10-31 07:52ed67d3c020-day return above 5%, long, hold 20 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:52f8a45f35RSI(14)<30 dip buy, 5-day hold houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 3: Costs
2026-10-31 07:5205417130Close below prior 20-day low, short, hold 10 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:529a0ac47bVolume z>2 (20d) on an up day, long, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:5228667957Volume z>2 (20d) on a down day, long, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:52bc80e166ATR(14) under 1% of price, long, hold 10 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:5294f5fbf71-day return z<=-2.5 (30d), long, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:52336495df5/10/20-day returns all positive, long, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:521f3f20115/10/20-day returns all negative, short, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:5263673cf3Close above prior 20-day high, long, hold 10 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:524e08ecc1Close 3%+ above SMA(20), short, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 2: Effect
2026-10-31 07:52fd851b10Close 3%+ below SMA(20), long, hold 5 houseSPY QQQ IWMFAILED at Trial 3: Costs